国际大宗商品脱离拉锯战趋向稳中有升

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< style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 18pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 108pt; mso-para-margin-left: 9.0gd; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal><FONT size=3><FONT color=#000000><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">从</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">9</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">月下旬以来，国际上的大宗商品和市场经济一样扑朔迷离，经历了一段时间来的拉锯战，近日，各种消息预期国际大宗商品将脱离拉锯战稳中有升。联合国粮农组织近日发布报告称，自今年</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">9</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">月初以来，东南亚地区的水灾已导致大量稻田及农作物被淹，泰国约</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">12.5%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">的稻田被毁，菲律为</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">6%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">，柬埔寨为</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">12%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">，老挝和越南分别为</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">7.5%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">和</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.4%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">。根据美国农业部的数据，今年全球稻米</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3420</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">吨的贸易量中，泰国占比约为</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">31%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">；越南排名第二，菲律宾则是去年最大的稻米进口国，泰国</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2012</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">年稻米出口量可能最多减少</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">30%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">至</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">700</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">万至</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">750</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">万吨。预计农作物受灾可能推动今年芝加哥商交所稻米期货上涨</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">17%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">。此外，受近期美元走软的影响，黄金期货价格止跌回升，交投最活跃的</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">12</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">月合约每盎司上涨</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">23.2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">美元，收于</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1636.1</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">美元，涨幅为</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.4%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">。</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">12</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">月份交货的白银期货价格上涨</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">91.2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">美分，收于每盎司</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">31.193</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">美元，涨幅为</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">，</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">月份交货的白金期货价格每盎司上涨</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">18.8</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">美元，收于</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1509.2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">美元，涨幅为</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.3%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">。由于欧洲最终将达成解决欧债危机的综合性方案，受此市场预期乐观的消息影响，加上美国原油供应趋紧，原油期货</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">21</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">日则追随股市和欧元的涨势走高，截至当天收盘，纽约商品交易所</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">12</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.33</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">美元，收于每桶</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">87.40</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">美元，涨幅为</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.55%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">。全周来看，纽约油价微涨</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.6</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">美元，涨幅为</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.69%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">。从这一周的整体情况看来，国际大宗商品将脱离拉锯战稳中有升。（</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-no-pf: yes" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">937</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-no-pf: yes">）</SPAN></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US><A href="http://bbs.51credit.com/post.php?action=newthread&amp;fid=35&amp;extra=page%3D1#_top"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Wingdings"><SPAN style="mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Wingdings"><FONT color=#0000ff>G</FONT></SPAN></SPAN></A></SPAN></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'" lang=EN-US><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>